Objectives
At the end of the course the students are expected to have basic knowledge about:
• which types of risk emerge in complex systems due to the presence of strong interconnections and interdependencies, so-called “systemic risk”.
• how systemic risk can be quantified and monitored by using big data analytics
• several case studies that illustrate risk management processes in complex systems, including financial markets, commodity trade, and health care processes.
Target Attendees / Participants
The course is dedicated to university students of Steinbeis European Master Program in Risk Engineering and Management, and similar programs.
Course Content by Units
1.
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Introduction to systemic risk and its management
· What is systemic risk?
· Why is systemic risk different from other types of risk, such as credit risk?
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1/8
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2.
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Quantifying risks in complex systems
· Quantitative indicators and network-based measures for risks in complex systems.
· Going beyond traditional networks: quantitative indicators for interdependencies in generalized data structures, such as multipartite and multi-relational networks.
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2/8
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3.
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Managing risks in complex systems
· How to leverage data analytics and visualization techniques for the management of risks in complex systems
· From indicators to models: how to build models for risks in complex and adaptive system and their use to manage such risks.
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2/8
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4.
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Applications
· Examples for the management of risks in complex systems:
· Finance: How to identify systemically risky financial institutions.
· Trade: How to assess the criticality of resources in supply chains
· Health care: Chronic diseases, multimorbidity, and polypharmacy
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3/8
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5.
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Review of main course issues and preparation for the final exam
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180
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Teaching Methods
The course
• is illustrated by number of examples,
• presents commonly used methods and tools, and
• provides exercises and preparation for the final exam.
Literature
• A.G. Haldane, R.M. May, Nature 469, 351-5 (2011).
• S. Battiston, M. Puliga, R. Kaushik, P. Tasca, G. Caldarelli, Sci. Rep. 2, 541 (2012).
• S. Thurner, S. Poledna, Sci. Rep. 3, 1888 (2013).
• and the references within the above scientific papers.
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